Golden Globes 2018: Who will win, who should win

globesgoldennomsThe Golden Globes are this Sunday on NBC! And while there are definitely more serious things going on in the world, I always love to discuss entertainment and pop culture with my circle of friends. I invited my friend Leslie to join me on a session of “who will win, who should win.” We’ll update the list with actual winners on Sunday night to see how we did with our choices.

Full disclosure: While we’re pop culture fanatics, we have not seen every performance. We got jobs, and bills. Money and free time are not our friends.

FILM (Leslie)

Best Motion Picture, Drama

Dunkirk
The Post
The Shape of Water
Call Me by Your Name
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Who will/should win: The Shape of Water

Winner: Three Billboards

Genre-bending, interspecies love story set in the 1960s with futuristic visual elements? This will be the indie movie that allows the HFPA show it can push the envelope in its thinking and voting…a little.
Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

The Disaster Artist
Get Out
The Greatest Showman
I, Tonya
Lady Bird

Who will win: Lady Bird
Who should win: Get Out

Winner: Lady Bird

Lady Bird stands out as the only female directed film in the #MeToo moment and deserves all the recognition it is receiving. Get Out suffers in this category because it’s not quite a comedy, not quite a drama, not quite able to be placed in any category. (Side note: I’m still salty there’s no Big Sick representation in the Globes.)

Best Director

Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Ridley Scott, All the Money in the World
Steven Spielberg, The Post

Who will/should win: Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

Winner: Guillermo del Toro

Best Actor, Motion Picture, Drama

Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.
Tom Hanks, The Post
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Who will win: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Who should win: Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name

Winner: Gary Oldman

Gary Oldman is long overdue, and awards season rewards male actors for the lack of recognition. A look at the slate of nominees shows the old-guard represented: Denzel, Hanks, Day- Lewis (my sentimental favorite). Typically, HFPA recognizes young talent like Chalamet, but they are more likely to do so in the television categories. While Chalamet has the advantage of being fresh-faced and starring in a highly reviewed indie love story, Oldman holds the established, yet unrewarded standing and plays Churchill (always a winning role) in a historical period piece (trifecta).

Best Actress, Motion Picture, Drama

Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Meryl Streep, The Post
Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World

Who will/should win: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri

Winner: Frances McDormand

Frances McDormand. I don’t know what else to say. Sally Hawkins could pull an upset (especially since it’s the HFPA), but I think Frances has this in the bag.
Best Actor, Motion Picture, Comedy

Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes
Ansel Elgort, Baby Driver
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

Who will win: James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Who should win: Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Winner: James Franco

Best Actress, Motion Picture, Comedy

Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes
Helen Mirren, The Leisure Seeker

Who will/should win: Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Winner: Saoirse Ronan

Best Supporting Actor, Motion Picture

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World

Who will win: Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Who should win: Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Winner: Sam Rockwell (!)

Christopher Plummer may pull this out over Willem Dafoe, who deserves this, because of sentimentality and the fact that he subbed in with such short notice for Kevin Spacey.  This one is a toss up.

Best Supporting Actress, Motion Picture

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Hong Chau, Downsizing
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Who will win: Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Who should win: Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Winner: Allison Janney

I am really torn on this one. Laurie or Allison could win and I’d be happy. I give Allison the edge because of her continual television work.

Best Screenplay

The Shape of Water
Lady Bird
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Post
Molly’s Game

Who will/should win: Lady Bird
Winner: Three Billboards

Best Original Song

“Home,” Ferdinand
“Mighty River,” Mudboumd
“Remember Me,” Coco
“The Star,” The Star
“This Is Me,” The Greatest Showman

Who will win: “This is Me,” The Greatest Showman
Who should win: “Mighty River,” Mudbound
Winner: The Greatest Showman

Riding high from last year’s La La Land, “This is Me” will take the prize, although “Remember Me” from Coco will be a close second.

Best Original Score

Carter Burwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Alexandre Desplat, The Shape of Water
Jonny Greenwood, Phantom Thread
John Williams, The Post
Hans Zimmer, Dunkirk

Who will/should win: Alexandre Desplat, The Shape of Water
Winner: The Shape of Water

Best Animated Feature

The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Coco
Ferdinand
Loving Vincent

Who will/should win: Coco
Winner: CoCo

Best Foreign Language Film

A Fantastic Woman
First They Killed My Father
In the Fade
Loveless
The Square

Who will win: First They Killed My Father
Who should win: The Square

Winner: In the Fade

TELEVISION (Julia)

Best Television Series, Drama

The Handmaid’s Tale
This Is Us
The Crown
Game of Thrones
Stranger Things

Who will win: The Handmaid’s Tale
Who should win: The Handmaid’s Tale
Winner: The Handmaid’s Tale

The Crown is lovely, Stranger Things is a fan fave, but The Handmaid’s Tale is visually stunning and the acting is just on. point. I’m just imagining all the winners in black standing on stage showing that The Handmaid’s Tale isn’t just a female story, it’s all of our story of how we need to fight for our freedoms regardless of gender. (Steps off soap box.)

Best Television Series, Comedy

Black-ish
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Master of None
SMILF
Will & Grace

Who will win: Will & Grace
Who should win: Master of None

Winner: The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Will & Grace is a safe choice that says, “We’re progressive! But not too progressive.”

Best Limited Series or Television Movie

Big Little Lies
Feud: Bette and Joan
Fargo
Top of the Lake: China Girl
The Sinner

Who will win: Big Little Lies
Who should win: Fargo

Winner: Big Little Lies

OK – this category just ticks me off since Big Little Lies was picked up for a second season. But it’s the award show darling of the moment. And let’s be honest, Ryan Murphy (Feud: Bette and Joan creator) has put out so much stinker content in the last few years that rewarding him for one will just make his inflated ego feel rewarded for all of it.

Best Actress, Limited Series or Television Movie

Nicole Kidman, Big Little Lies
Reese Witherspoon, Big Little Lies
Jessica Lange, Feud: Bette and Joan
Susan Sarandon, Feud: Bette and Joan
Jessica Biel, The Sinner

Who will win: Nicole Kidman
Who should win: Reese Witherspoon (Girl’s reaction shots are all the gifs. Not Nicole’s. That says something.)
Winner: Nicole Kidman

Best Actor, Limited Series or Television Movie

Robert De Niro, The Wizard of Lies
Kyle MacLachlan, Twin Peaks
Jude Law, The Young Pope
Ewan McGregor, Fargo
Geoffrey Rush, Genius

Who will win: Robert De Niro
Who should win: Kyle MacLachlan

Winner: Ewan McGregor

Everyone loves a movie star slumming it on TV. Sigh.

Best Actress, Television Series, Drama

Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale
Claire Foy, The Crown
Katherine Langford, 13 Reasons Why
Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Deuce
Caitriona Balfe, Outlander

Who will win: Elisabeth Moss
Who should win: Elisabeth Moss
Winner: Elisabeth Moss

Elisabeth Moss does so much with this character’s facial ticks and movements to convey every let down and build up in her life. It’s also the award that says, “We’re sorry we didn’t take your Peggy/Mad Men character more seriously.”

Best Actor, Television Series, Drama

Freddie Highmore, The Good Doctor
Sterling K. Brown, This Is Us
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Jason Bateman, Ozark
Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan

Who will win: Bob Odenkirk
Who should win: Sterling K. Brown
Winner: Sterling K. Brown!

This is a tough category for me because I want Bob AND Sterling to win. Sterling is carrying This is Us‘s emotional highs this season. But Bob will get the award because no one plays down-on-his-luck guy better. You want to just rescue him and hug him.

Best Actress, Television Series, Comedy

Pamela Adlon, Better Things
Alison Brie, GLOW
Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Issa Rae, Insecure
Frankie Shaw, SMILF

Who will win: Rachel Brosnahan
Who should win: Pamela Adlon
Winner: Rachel Brosnahan

Because The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel won’t win the award for best comedy, this will be a take away for the HFPA to say they like this new thing, they’re just not ready to call it the “IT” new thing. Pamela Adlon is so moving in just the commercials for Better Things. I mean, if she was my mom, I’d get in step very quickly.

Best Actor, Television Series, Comedy

Anthony Anderson, Black-ish
Aziz Ansari, Master of None
Kevin Bacon, I Love Dick
William H. Macy, Shameless
Eric McCormack, Will & Grace

Who will win: Erick McCormack
Who should win: Aziz Ansari

Winner: Aziz Ansari

See Best Comedy award. Safe, yet says progressive. Yuck.

Best Supporting Actress, Television Series

Laura Dern, Big Little Lies
Ann Dowd, The Handmaid’s Tale
Chrissy Metz, This Is Us
Michelle Pfeiffer, The Wizard of Lies
Shailene Woodley, Big Little Lies

Who will win: Ann Dowd
Who should win: Ann Dowd
Winner: Laura Dern

See Elisabeth Moss best across award….wash…repeat…..this lady is terrifyingly good at being a horrible person.

Best Supporting Actor, Television Series

Christian Slater, Mr. Robot
David Harbour, Stranger Things
Alfred Molina, Feud: Bette and Joan
Alexander Skarsgard, Big Little Lies
David Thewlis, Fargo

Who will win: Alexander Skarsgard
Who should win: Alexander Skarsgard
Winner: Alexander Skarsgard

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